Who is popular today?

Candidates in the Dublin Bay South byelection were engaging in a final, frantic round of canvassing on Wednesday afternoon ahead of the opening of polls tomorrow morning.
Fine Gael’s director of elections Simon Harris called for party supporters to transfer to Fianna Fáil and the Greens in the hope of generating Government transfers for its candidate Cllr James Geoghegan.
“I respectfully ask the people of Dublin Bay South to vote number 1 James Geoghegan tomorrow and to transfer to candidates from Government parties,” he said.
“It is encouraging to see in the recent Irish Times poll that a significant majority of voters in Dublin Bay South approve of the Government’s work and I kindly ask them tomorrow to come out to vote so we can continue this work.”
However, neither Fianna Fáil nor the Greens have previously responded positively to the suggestion of Government pact and that was not changing on the last day of campaigning.
“We are looking for number one votes and after that it’s a matter for the voter,” said Fianna Fáil director of elections Jim O’Callaghan.
A Green Party spokesman said there was no “voting pact with any other parties or candidates” for the byelection.
“We encourage voters to give their number one vote to Claire Byrne for a progressive voice in Government and to give their subsequent preferences according to their own choice,” he said.
After a universal drenching in torrential rain on Tuesday, candidates and their teams have fanned out across the constituency in better weather in search of votes and plastered social media platforms with appeals to their supporters and undecided voters.
‘Urgency for real change’
Sinn Féin’s candidate Senator Lynn Boylan said that “change and housing are what people are talking about on the doorsteps”.
“There’s an urgency for real change. I hear it everywhere I go,” she said.
“Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil have had their chance. Everyone knows from their 10 year record in government that Fine Gael will never deliver affordable homes. Places like the Glass Bottle site in Ringsend could have provided thousands of affordable homes, but a Fine Gael minister allowed it to be sold off to developers with prices now set to be totally out of the reach of workers and families.”
Ms Boylan added: “My message is that we can fix housing, and that we can build a fairer Ireland and a united Ireland. That is what a vote for me and for Sinn Féin is.”
Green candidate Claire Byrne also pledged to work to fix the housing crisis, warning that “renters cannot be left behind”.
Mr O’Callaghan said his party’s candidate, Cllr Deirdre Conroy, had run a “very visible and vibrant campaign that has received strong support from the whole Fianna Fáil parliamentary party and the Taoiseach”.
“We are appealing to people who want to support the government and who want a progressive candidate to come out and give Deirdre Conroy their number 1 vote,” he said.
“She has a strong record of campaigning and has done a huge amount of work for residents throughout the constituency since she was elected as a councillor,” he said.
Two-horse race
The other candidates are Sarah Durcan (Social Democrats), Mairead Tóibín (Aontú), Brigid Purcell (People Before Profit), Justin Barrett (National Party), Jacqui Gilbourne (Renua) and Independents Mannix Flynn, Peter Dooley, Dolores Cahill, John Keigher and Colm O’Keeffe.
Privately sources in most parties acknowledge that the contest is likely to be a two-horse race between Mr Geoghegan and Labour’s Senator Ivana Bacik, with Ms Bacik the favourite.
Turnout, however, will have a strong bearing on the outcome, and with a low turnout a strong possibility, there is a strong unpredictability to the contest.
All parties are putting in place arrangements to encourage their supporters to come out and vote tomorrow. Polls are open from 7am until 10.30pm on Thursday.