Allan Lichtman

Allan Lichtman

Allan Jay Lichtman (born April 4, 1947) is an American political historian who teaches at American University in Washington, D.C.. He is well-known for predicting every presidential winner in the United States Presidential Election since 1984, including forecasting the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election remarkably early.In 2006, he ran for the state Senate in Maryland. He was named by American University as the Distinguished Professor of History in 2011, and as Outstanding Scholar/Teacher for 1992–93, the highest faculty award at that school. He is the author of numerous books and has published over 100 articles. A model he created with Russian seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok, known as The Keys to the White House, has accurately predicted the popular vote winner of all of the U.S. presidential elections from 1984 to 2012. In 2000, he incorrectly predicted that Al Gore would win the presidency in 2000 but later claimed that he had predicted the popular vote winner. In 2016, he was wrong in predicting a popular vote win for Donald Trump, although Trump won the Electoral College. With Trump win prediction in 2016, he had his bet each way, he also predicted that Trump could lose towards the end of his prediction video interview. Wikipedia

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